According to James Kirkup writing for The Spectator, “cutting down on mass (mostly Muslim) immigration will raise your taxes. Without net migration, Britain would currently be facing even bigger tax hikes and bigger spending cuts than it is now.”
Only the higher-than-expected numbers of migrants coming to the UK under the post-Brexit migration regime adds materially to prospects for potential output growth over the coming five years relative to the assumptions that we made in March.’
That’s from the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) assessment accompanying the Autumn Statement. It’s a pretty striking line: the state’s official analyst of the public finances says that the only good thing to happen to the UK economy since March is higher immigration.
Here, I can only say something rather childish: I told you so. No doubt this immigration outlook will make some people unhappy. Justifiably, too. It isn’t what they were promised, at least by the current Home Secretary. Suella Braverman said she wants net migration to fall below 100,000 – though to be fair, she said that as part of the Truss government in October.
Kirup’s reasoning is that “more migrant workers mean more economic activity which means more tax revenue than would otherwise have been received.” What he doesn’t say is that a very large percentage of Muslim migrants do not work, and never will, which means they do not pay taxes. Instead they rely on welfare benefits and social services which is a burden on the rest of the British population who pays the taxes.